Why are p-Values Controversial?

  • Todd A. Kuffner
  • , Stephen G. Walker

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    29 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    While it is often argued that a p-value is a probability; see Wasserstein and Lazar, we argue that a p-value is not defined as a probability. A p-value is a bijection of the sufficient statistic for a given test which maps to the same scale as the Type I error probability. As such, the use of p-values in a test should be no more a source of controversy than the use of a sufficient statistic. It is demonstrated that there is, in fact, no ambiguity about what a p-value is, contrary to what has been claimed in recent public debates in the applied statistics community. We give a simple example to illustrate that rejecting the use of p-values in testing for a normal mean parameter is conceptually no different from rejecting the use of a sample mean. The p-value is innocent; the problem arises from its misuse and misinterpretation. The way that p-values have been informally defined and interpreted appears to have led to tremendous confusion and controversy regarding their place in statistical analysis.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1-3
    Number of pages3
    JournalAmerican Statistician
    Volume73
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jan 2 2019

    Keywords

    • Decision rule
    • Sufficient statistic
    • Type I error

    Fingerprint

    Dive into the research topics of 'Why are p-Values Controversial?'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

    Cite this