TIME‐TO‐BUILD EFFECTS AND THE TERM STRUCTURE

  • Jack Strauss
  • , Guofu Zhou

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    This paper shows that real macroeconomic variables have power to predict movements in the term structure of interest rates. This complements recent evidence that links the term structure to expected stock returns. We find that up to 86 percent of the variation in the term premia are due to the changes in macroeconomic variables. The predictive power can be attributed to the time‐to‐build effect of investments.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)115-127
    Number of pages13
    JournalJournal of Financial Research
    Volume18
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    StatePublished - 1995

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