The slope of the yield curve and real economic activity: Tracing the transmission mechanism

  • David A. Peel
  • , Mark P. Taylor

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    16 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    The slope of the yield curve in the US and the UK is strongly associated with the temporary rather than the permanent components of real economic activity, suggesting that the yield curve affects economic activity primarily through the demand side.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)353-360
    Number of pages8
    JournalEconomics Letters
    Volume59
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jun 1 1998

    Keywords

    • E33
    • E44
    • Permanent-temporary decomposition
    • Real activity
    • Yield curve

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