Social learning with private and common values

  • Jacob K. Goeree
  • , Thomas R. Palfrey
  • , Brian W. Rogers

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    We consider an environment where individuals sequentially choose among several actions. The payoff to an individual depends on her action choice, the state of the world, and an idiosyncratic, privately observed preference shock. Under weak conditions, as the number of individuals increases, the sequence of choices always reveals the state of the world. This contrasts with the familiar result for pure common-value environments where the state is never learned, resulting in herds or informational cascades. The medium run dynamics to convergence can be very complex and non-monotone: posterior beliefs may be concentrated on a wrong state for a long time, shifting suddenly to the correct state.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)245-264
    Number of pages20
    JournalEconomic Theory
    Volume28
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jun 2006

    Keywords

    • Information aggregation
    • Social learning

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