Prediction models for risk assessment of surgical site infection after spinal surgery: A systematic review

Background: Spinal surgeries are a common procedure, but there is significant risk of adverse events following these operations. While the rate of adverse events ranges from 8% to 18%, surgical site infections (SSIs) alone occur in between 1% and 4% of spinal surgeries. Methods: We completed a systematic review addressing factors that contribute to surgical site infection after spinal surgery. From the included studies, we separated the articles into groups based on whether they propose a clinical predictive tool or model. We then compared the prediction variables, model development, model validation, and model performance. Results: About 47 articles were included in this study: 10 proposed a model and 5 validated a model. The models were developed from 7,720 participants in total and 210 participants with SSI. Only one of the proposed models was externally validated by an independent group. The other 4 validation papers examined the performance of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator. Conclusions: While some preoperative risk models have been validated, and even successfully implemented clinically, the significance of postoperative SSIs and the unique susceptibility of spine surgery patients merits the development of a spine-specific preoperative risk model. Additionally, comprehensive and stratified risk modeling for SSI would be of invaluable clinical utility and greatly improve the field of spine surgery.