Optimal Portfolio Choice with Estimation Risk: No Risk-Free Asset Case

Raymond Kan, Xiaolu Wang, Guofu Zhou

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    31 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    We propose an optimal combining strategy to mitigate estimation risk for the popular mean-variance portfolio choice problem in the case without a risk-free asset. We find that our strategy performs well in general, and it can be applied to known estimated rules and the resulting new rules outperform the original ones. We further obtain the exact distribution of the out-of-sample returns and explicit expressions of the expected out-of-sample utilities of the combining strategy, providing not only a fast and accurate way of evaluating the performance, but also analytical insights into the portfolio construction.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2047-2068
    Number of pages22
    JournalManagement Science
    Volume68
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Mar 2022

    Keywords

    • estimation risk
    • mean-variance optimization
    • optimal combining
    • portfolio choice

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