Mortgage rates and credit risk: Evidence from mortgage pools

Gaetano Antinolfi, Celso Brunetti, Jay Im

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    In the 1990s, securitised subprime loans supported the growth of mortgage lending. We study the evolution of initial mortgage rates as a function of loan and borrower characteristics during 1992–2015. We compare the evolution of initial rates on securitised subprime mortgages with rates of prime privately securitised mortgages, mortgages securitised by government-sponsored enterprises, and nonsecuritised mortgages. Starting in 2003 the risk premium on subprime loans decreases until it disappears at the onset of the Global Financial Crisis. We find that loading factors on subprime rates are cointegrated with delinquencies and house price movements, providing evidence of the important role of the subprime market.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2658-2681
    Number of pages24
    JournalEuropean Financial Management
    Volume30
    Issue number5
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Nov 2024

    Keywords

    • mortgage rates
    • Securitization
    • subprime mortgage pools

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