Macro-economic shocks, the ERM, and tri-polarity

  • T. Bayoumi
  • , M. P. Taylor

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    30 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    The authors use the comparative behavior of real output growth and inflation behavior of members and non-members of the ERM to analyze the importance of ERM membership on macroeconomic performance. An econometric procedure for identifying temporary and permanent shocks to output is proposed and executed. The results confirm that the ERM has acted as a vehicle for macro-policy coordination between members. Several issues relating to the hypothesis of global economic "tri-polarity' between the US, Germany and Japan are also investigated. -from Authors

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)321-331
    Number of pages11
    JournalReview of Economics and Statistics
    Volume77
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    StatePublished - 1995

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