Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: The COVIDSurg mortality score

@article{345180a8cd4744868406bc264a15a209,

title = "Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: The COVIDSurg mortality score",

author = "Laura Bravo and Dmitri Nepogodiev and Glasbey, {James C.} and Elizabeth Li and Simoes, {Joana F.F.} and Kamarajah, {Sivesh K.} and Maria Picciochi and Abbott, {Tom E.F.} and Ademuyiwa, {Adesoji O.} and Arnaud, {Alexis P.} and Arnav Agarwal and Amanpreet Brar and Muhammed Elhadi and Dennis Mazingi and Cardoso, {Victor Roth} and Samuel Lawday and Raza Sayyed and Omar, {Omar M.} and {de la Madina}, {Antonio Ramos} and Luke Slater and Venn, {Mary L.} and Georgios Gkoutos and Aneel Bhangu and Andreas Karwath and Kwabena Siaw-Acheampong and Leah Argus and Daoud Chaudhry and Dawson, {Brett E.} and Gujjuri, {Rohan R.} and Jones, {Conor S.} and Chetan Khatri and Keatley, {James M.} and Harvinder Mann and Marson, {Ella J.} and Mclean, {Kenneth A.} and Taylor, {Elliott H.} and Abhinav Tiwari and Trout, {Isobel M.} and Wilkin, {Richard J.W.} and Irida Dajti and Arben Gjata and Luis Boccalatte and Modolo, {Maria Marta} and Daniel Cox and Peter Pockney and Philip Townend and Felix Aigner and Irmgard Kronberger and Kamral Hossain and Gabrielle VanRamshorst and Ismail Lawani and Gustavo Ataide and Glauco Baiocchi and Igor Buarque and Muhammad Gohar and Mihail Slavchev and Janet Martin and Maricarmen Olivos and Jose Calvache and Rivera, {Carlos Jose Perez} and Hadzibegovic, {Ana Danic} and Tomislav Kopjar and Jakov Mihanovic and Jaroslav Klat and Ren{\'e} Novysedlak and Peter Christensen and Alaa El-Hussuna and Sylvia Batista and Eddy Lincango and Emile, {Sameh H.} and Mengesha, {Mengistu Gebreyohanes} and Samuel Hailu and Hailu Tamiru and Joonas Kauppila and Johanna Laukkarinen and Markus Albertsmeiers and Hans Lederhuber and Markus Loffler and Stephen Tabiri and Symeon Metallidis and Georgios Tsoulfas and Lorena, {Maria Aguilera} and Gustavo Grecinos and Tamas Mersich and Daniel Wettstein and Dhruv Ghosh and Gabriele Kembuan and Peiman Brouk and Mohammad Khosravi and Masoud Mozafari and Ahmed Adil and Mohan, {Helen M.} and Oded Zmora and Marco Fiore and Gaetano Gallo and Francesco Pata and Gianluca Pellino and Sohei Satoi and Faris Ayasra and Mohammad Chaar and Fakhradiyev, {Ildar R.} and Mohammad Jamal and Aiste Gulla and April Roslani and Laura Martinez and {De La Medina}, {Antonio Ramos} and Oumaima Outani and Pascal Jonker and Schelto Kruijff and Milou Noltes and Pieter Steinkamp and {van der Plas}, Willemijn and Babatunde Osinaike and Justina Seyiolajide and Emmanuel Williams and Sofija Pejkova and Augestad, {Knut Magne} and Kjetil Soreide and {Al Balushi}, Zainab and Ahmad Qureshi and Daraghmeh, {Mustafa Abu Mohsen} and Sadi Abukhalaf and Moises Cukier and Hugo Gomez and Sebastian Shu and Ximena Vasquez and Parreno-Sacdalan, {Marie Dione} and Piotr Major and Jos{\'e} Azevedo and Miguel Cunha and Irene Santos and Ahmad Zarour and Bonci, {Eduard Alexandru} and Ionut Negoi and Sergey Efetov and Andrey Litvin and Faustin Ntirenganya and {Al Ameer}, Ehab and Dejan Radenkovic and Xiang, {Frederick Koh Hong} and Hoe, {Chew Min} and Yong, {James Ngu Chi} and Rachel Moore and Ncamsile Nhlabathi and Colino, {Ruth Blanco} and Bravo, {Ana Minaya} and Ana Minaya-Bravo and Umesh Jayarajah and Dakshitha Wickramasinghe and Mohammed Elmujtaba and William Jebril and Martin Ruteg{\aa}rd and Malin Sund and Arda Isik and Sezai Leventoǧlu and Ruth Benson and Ed Caruna and Sohini Chakrabortee and Andreas Demetriades and Anant Desai and Drake, {Thomas D.} and Edwards, {John G.} and Evans, {Jonathan P.} and Samuel Ford and Christina Fotopoulou and Ewen Griffiths and Peter Hutchinson and Jenkinson, {Michael D.} and Tabassum Khan and Stephen Knight and Angelos Kolias and Elaine Leung and Siobhan McKay and Lisa Norman and Riinu Ots and Vidya Raghavan and Keith Roberts and Andrew Schache and Richard Shaw and Katie Shaw and Neil Smart and Grant Stewart and Sudha Sundar and Dale Vimalchandran and Naomi Wright and Sattar Alshryda and Osaid Alser and Kerry Breen and Ian Ganly and Haytham Kaafarani and Brittany Kendall and Hassan Mashbari and {Al Naggar}, Hamza and Valenzuela, {J. I.} and Boccalatte, {L. A.} and Gemelli, {N. A.} and Smith, {D. E.} and Dudi-Venkata, {N. N.} and Kroon, {H. M.} and T. Sammour and M. Roberts and D. Mitchell and K. Lah and A. Pearce and A. Morton and Dawson, {A. C.} and A. Drane and C. Sharpin and Nataraja, {R. M.} and M. Pacilli and Cox, {D. R.A.} and V. Muralidharan and Riddiough, {G. E.} and Clarke, {E. M.} and W. Jamel and Qin, {K. R.} and D. Cope and N. Egoroff and N. Lott and S. Putnis and {De Robles}, S. and Z. Ang and M. Mitteregger and S. Uranitsch and M. Stiegler and G. Seitinger and Lumenta, {D. B.} and Nischwitz, {S. P.} and E. Richtig and M. Pau and P. Srekl-Filzmaier and N. Eibinger and B. Michelitsch and M. Fediuk and A. Papinutti and G. Seidel and J. Kahn and Cohnert, {T. U.} and F. Messner and D. {\"O}fner and J. Presl and M. Varga and M. Weitzendorfer and K. Emmanuel and Binder, {A. D.} and M. Zimmermann and S. Holawe and E. Nkenke and C. Grimm and M. Kranawetter and {Rahman Mitul}, A. and N. Islam and S. Karim and N. Komen and E. Ang and {De Praetere}, H. and T. Tollens and G. Schols and C. Smets and L. Haenen and J. Quintens and {Van Belle}, K. and {Van Ramshorst}, {G. H.} and P. Pattyn and L. Desender and T. Martens and {Van de Putte}, D. and P. Lerut and A. Grimonprez and M. Janssen and {De Smul}, G. and P. Wallaert and {Van den Eynde}, J. and W. Oosterlinck and {Van den Eynde}, R. and A. Sermon and A. Boeckxstaens and A. Cordonnier and {De Coster}, J. and J. Jaekers and C. Politis and M. Miserez and N. Duchateau and {De Gheldere}, C. and N. Flamey and A. Christiano and B. Guidi and Minussi, {A. L.} and S. Castro and W. Okoba and Maldonado, {F. H.R.} and P. Oliveira and T. Baldasso and L. Santos and Gomes, {G. M.A.} and Buarque, {I. L.} and L. Pol-Fachin and Bezerra, {T. S.} and Barros, {A. V.} and {da Silva}, {A. M.R.} and Leite, {A. L.S.} and Silvestre, {D. W.A.} and Ferro, {C. C.} and Araujo, {M. S.} and Lopes, {L. M.} and Damasceno, {P. D.} and Araujo, {D. H.S.} and G. Laporte and Salem, {M. C.} and Guimaraes-Filho, {M. A.C.} and L. Nacif and Flumignan, {R. L.G.} and Nakano, {L. C.U.} and Kuramoto, {D. A.B.} and Aidar, {A. L.S.} and Pereda, {M. R.} and Correia, {R. M.} and Santos, {B. C.} and Carvalho, {A. A.} and Amorim, {J. E.} and {Guedes Neto}, {H. J.} and Areias, {L. L.} and Sousa, {A. F.} and Flumignan, {C. D.Q.} and Lustre, {W. G.} and Moreno, {D. H.} and N. Barros and Baptista-Silva, {J. C.C.} and Matos, {L. L.} and Kowaski, {L. P.} and Kulcsar, {M. A.V.} and Nunes, {K. S.} and Teixeira, {M. F.} and Nunes, {R. L.} and Ijichi, {T. R.} and Kim, {N. J.} and A. Marreiro and B. Muller and {Barakat Awada}, J. and Kowalski, {L. P.} and Vartanian, {J. G.} and Makdissi, {F. B.} and S. Aguiar and N. Marques and Carvalho, {G. B.} and Marques, {T. M.D.M.} and Abdallah, {E. A.} and Zurstrassen, {C. E.} and Gross, {J. L.} and Zequi, {S. C.} and Gon{\c c}alves, {B. T.} and Santos, {S. S.} and Duprat, {J. P.} and Coimbra, {F. J.F.} and R. Cicco and F. Takeda and I. Cecconello and U. Ribeiro and A. Gatti and R. Oliva and C. Nardi and B. Atanasov and N. Belev and A. Dell and D. Bigam and K. Dajani and {Al Riyami}, S. and D. Cheng and H. Yang and A. Fayad and Carrier, {F. M.} and E. Amzallag and J. Desroches and M. Ruel and Caminsky, {N. G.} and M. Boutros and J. Moon and Wong, {E. G.} and T. Vanounou and J. Pelletier and S. Wong and E. Girsowicz and J. Bayne and D. Obrand and H. Gill and O. Steinmetz and K. MacKenzie and M. Lukaszewski and G. Jamjoum and P. Richeb{\'e} and O. Verdonck and S. Discepola and N. Godin and M. Idrissi and D. Briatico and S. Sharma and G. Talwar and K. Bailey and V. Lecluyse and G. C{\^o}t{\'e} and S. Demyttenaere and R. Garfinkle and A. Kouyoumdjian and S. Dumitra and K. Khwaja and L. Luo and G. Berry and Liberman, {A. S.} and S. Schmid and J. Spicer and {Al Farsi}, M. and J. Abou-Khalil and E. Couture and S. Mohammadi and H. Tremblay and N. Gagn{\'e} and A. Bergeron and Turgeon, {A. F.} and O. 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Barra and S. Ferrero and C. Gustavino and C. Kratochwila and A. Ferraiolo and S. Costantini and P. Batistotti and A. Aprile and C. Almondo and L. Ball and C. Robba and S. Scabini and D. Pertile and A. Massobrio and D. Soriero and S. D'Ugo and N. Depalma and Spampinato, {M. G.} and L. Lippa and C. Gambacciani and Santonocito, {O. S.} and F. Aquila and F. Pieri and M. Ballabio and P. Bisagni and M. Longhi and T. Armao and M. Madonini and A. Gagliano and P. Pizzini and A. Costanzi and M. Confalonieri and M. Monteleone and G. Colletti and C. Frattaruolo and G. Mari and A. Spinelli and G. Mercante and G. Spriano and F. Gaino and F. Ferreli and {De Virgilio}, A. and V. Rossi and Carvello, {M. M.} and {Di Candido}, F. and H. Kurihara and E. Marrano and G. Torzilli and C. Castoro and Carrano, {F. M.} and F. Martinelli and A. Macchi and S. Pasquali and Cioffi, {S. P.B.} and M. Baia and C. Abatini and C. Sarre and A. Mosca and D. Biasoni and A. Gronchi and D. Citterio and V. Mazzaferro and P. 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Mora-Guzm{\'a}n and {Landete Molina}, {F. J.} and {Morera Oc{\'o}n}, {F. J.} and {Canelles Corell}, E. and {Gavald{\`a} Pellic{\'e}}, {M. T.} and {Salinas Pe{\~n}a}, {J. R.} and {Cavall{\'e} Busquets}, P. and J. Trebol and S{\'a}nchez-Casado, {A. B.} and L. Munoz-Bellvis and P{\'e}rez-S{\'a}nchez, {L. E.} and {Concepci{\'o}n Mart{\'i}n}, V. and {D{\'i}az Garc{\'i}a}, A. and M. Vallve-Bernal and {Calvo Rey}, A. and {Prada Hervella}, {G. M.} and {Dos Santos Carregal}, L. and {Rodriguez Fernandez}, {M. I.} and M. Freijeiro and {El Drubi Vega}, S. and Picardo, {A. L.} and A. Cuadrado-Garcia and {Serralta de Colsa}, D. and {Rojo Lopez}, {J. A.} and {Sanchez Cabezudo Noguera}, F. and {Ortega Vazquez}, I. and {Garcia-Sancho Tellez}, L. and P. Mato and {Heras Aznar}, J. and {Jimeno Fraile}, J. and D. Morales-Garcia and M. Carrillo-Rivas and {Toledo Mart{\'i}nez}, E. and Pascual and A. Senent-Boza and A. S{\'a}nchez-Arteaga and I. Ben{\'i}tez-Linero and F. Manresa-Manresa and L. 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note = "Funding Information: This report was funded by a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Global Health Research Unit Grant (NIHR 16.136.79), Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland, Bowel & Cancer Research, Bowel Research UK, Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons, British Association of Surgical Oncology, British Gynaecological Cancer Society, European Society of Coloproctology, Medtronic, NIHR Academy, The Urology Foundation, Sarcoma UK, Vascular Society for Great Britain and Ireland, Yorkshire Cancer Research, and the MRC Health Data Research UK (HDRUK/CFC/01), an initiative funded by UK Research and Innovation, Department of Health and Social Care (England) and the devolved administrations, and leading medical research charities. L.B.M. and G.V.G. also acknowledge the Wellcome Trust 4-year studentship programme in mechanisms of inflammatory disease (MIDAS; 215182/Z/19/Z). The funders had no role in study design, data collection, analysis and interpretation, or writing of this report. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health and Social Care.",

year = "2021",

doi = "10.1093/bjs/znab183",

language = "English",

volume = "19",

journal = "British Journal of Surgery",

issn = "0007-1323",

number = "4",