Information reliability and welfare: A theory of coarse credit ratings

  • Anand M. Goel
  • , Anjan V. Thakor

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    48 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    An enduring puzzle is why credit rating agencies (CRAs) use a few categories to describe credit qualities lying in a continuum, even when ratings coarseness reduces welfare. We model a cheap-talk game in which a CRA assigns positive weights to the divergent goals of issuing firms and investors. The CRA wishes to inflate ratings but prefers an unbiased rating to one whose inflation exceeds a threshold. Ratings coarseness arises in equilibrium to preclude excessive rating inflation. We show that competition among CRAs can increase ratings coarseness. We also examine the welfare implications of regulatory initiatives.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)541-557
    Number of pages17
    JournalJournal of Financial Economics
    Volume115
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Mar 1 2015

    Keywords

    • Cheap talk
    • Coarseness
    • Credit quality
    • Credit ratings

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