Identifying potential health care innovations for the future elderly.

Paul G. Shekelle, Eduardo Ortiz, Sydne J. Newberry, Michael W. Rich, Shannon L. Rhodes, Robert H. Brook, Dana P. Goldman

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

14 Scopus citations


We used a method that combined literature review and expertjudgment to assess potential medical innovations for older adults. We evaluated innovations in four domains: cardiovascular disease, cancer, the biology of aging, and neurologic disease. The innovations can be categorized by common themes: improved disease prevention, better detection of subclinical or early clinical disease, and treatments for established disease. We report the likelihood, potential impact, and potential cost implications for thirty-four innovations, and we revisit this forecast five years later. Many of the innovations have the potential to greatly affect the costs and outcomes of health care.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)W5R67-76
JournalHealth affairs (Project Hope)
Volume24 Suppl 2
StatePublished - 2005


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