Genomic Classifier Performance in Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer: Results From NRG Oncology/RTOG 0126 Randomized Phase 3 Trial

  • Daniel E. Spratt
  • , Vinnie Y.T. Liu
  • , Jeff Michalski
  • , Elai Davicioni
  • , Alejandro Berlin
  • , Jeffry P. Simko
  • , Jason A. Efstathiou
  • , Phuoc T. Tran
  • , Howard M. Sandler
  • , William A. Hall
  • , Darby J.S. Thompson
  • , Matthew B. Parliament
  • , Ian S. Dayes
  • , Rohann Jonathan Mark Correa
  • , John M. Robertson
  • , Elizabeth M. Gore
  • , Desiree E. Doncals
  • , Eric Vigneault
  • , Luis Souhami
  • , Theodore G. Karrison
  • Felix Y. Feng

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Purpose: Intermediate-risk prostate cancer is a heterogeneous disease state with diverse treatment options. The 22-gene Decipher genomic classifier (GC) retrospectively has shown to improve risk stratification in these patients. We assessed the performance of the GC in men with intermediate-risk disease enrolled in NRG Oncology/RTOG 01-26 with updated follow-up. Methods and Materials: After National Cancer Institute approval, biopsy slides were collected from NRG Oncology/RTOG 01-26, a randomized phase 3 trial of men with intermediate-risk prostate cancer randomized to 70.2 Gy versus 79.2 Gy of radiation therapy without androgen deprivation therapy. RNA was extracted from the highest-grade tumor foci to generate the locked 22-gene GC model. The primary endpoint for this ancillary project was disease progression (composite of biochemical failure, local failure, distant metastasis, prostate cancer-specific mortality, and use of salvage therapy). Individual endpoints were also assessed. Fine-Gray or cause-specific Cox multivariable models were constructed adjusting for randomization arm and trial stratification factors. Results: Two-hundred fifteen patient samples passed quality control for analysis. The median follow-up was 12.8 years (range, 2.4-17.7). On multivariable analysis, the 22-gene GC (per 0.1 unit) was independently prognostic for disease progression (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.26; P = .04), biochemical failure (sHR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.10-1.37; P < .001), distant metastasis (sHR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.06-1.55; P = .01), and prostate cancer-specific mortality (sHR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.20-1.76; P < .001). Ten-year distant metastasis in GC low-risk patients was 4% compared with 16% for GC high-risk patients. In patients with lower GC scores, the 10-year difference in metastasis-free survival rate between arms was –7%, compared with 21% for higher GC patients (P-interaction = .04). Conclusions: This study represents the first validation of a biopsy-based gene expression classifier, assessing both its prognostic and predictive value, using data from a randomized phase 3 trial of intermediate-risk prostate cancer. Decipher improves risk stratification and can aid in treatment decision-making in men with intermediate-risk disease.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)370-377
Number of pages8
JournalInternational Journal of Radiation Oncology Biology Physics
Volume117
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 1 2023

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