Effect of patient factors, center, and era on Fontan timing: An observational study using the Pediatric Health Information Systems Database

Background: There are no consensus guidelines defining optimal timing for the Fontan operation, the last planned surgery in staged palliation for single-ventricle heart disease. Objectives: Identify patient-level characteristics, center-level variation, and secular trends driving Fontan timing. Methods: A retrospective observational study of subjects who underwent Fontan from 2007 to 2021 at centers in the Pediatric Health Information Systems database was performed using linear mixed-effects modeling in which age at Fontan was regressed on patient characteristics and date of operation with center as random effect. Results: We included 10,305 subjects (40.4% female, 44% non-white) at 47 centers. Median age at Fontan was 3.4 years (IQR 2.6-4.4). Hypoplastic left heart syndrome (-4.4 months, 95%CI -5.5 to -3.3) and concomitant conditions (-2.6 months, 95%CI -4.1 to -1.1) were associated with younger age at Fontan. Subjects with technology-dependence (+4.6 months, 95%CI 3.1-6.1) were older at Fontan. Black (+4.1 months, 95%CI 2.5-5.7) and Asian (+8.3 months, 95%CI 5.4-11.2) race were associated with older age at Fontan. There was significant variation in Fontan timing between centers. Center accounted for 10% of variation (ICC 0.10, 95%CI 0.07-0.14). Center surgical volume was not associated with Fontan timing (P = .21). Operation year was associated with age at Fontan, with a 3.1 month increase in age for every 5 years (+0.61 months, 95%CI 0.48-0.75). Conclusions: After adjusting for patient-level characteristics there remains significant inter-center variation in Fontan timing. Age at Fontan has increased. Future studies addressing optimal Fontan timing are warranted.