TY - JOUR
T1 - Dimension-agnostic change point detection
AU - Gao, Hanjia
AU - Wang, Runmin
AU - Shao, Xiaofeng
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025
PY - 2025/7
Y1 - 2025/7
N2 - Change point testing for high-dimensional data has attracted a lot of attention in statistics, econometrics and machine learning owing to the emergence of high-dimensional data with structural breaks from many fields. In practice, when the dimension is less than the sample size but is not small, it is often unclear whether a method that is tailored to high-dimensional data or simply a classical method that is developed and justified for low-dimensional data is preferred. In addition, the methods designed for low-dimensional data may not work well in the high-dimensional environment and vice versa. In this paper, we propose a dimension-agnostic testing procedure targeting a single change point in the mean of a multivariate weakly dependent time series. Specifically, we can show that the limiting null distribution for our test statistic is the same regardless of the dimensionality and the magnitude of cross-sectional dependence. The power analysis is also conducted to understand the large sample behavior of the proposed test. Through Monte Carlo simulations and a real data illustration, we demonstrate that the finite sample results strongly corroborate the theory and suggest that the proposed test can be used as a benchmark for change-point detection of time series of low, medium, and high dimensions with complex cross-sectional and temporal dependence.
AB - Change point testing for high-dimensional data has attracted a lot of attention in statistics, econometrics and machine learning owing to the emergence of high-dimensional data with structural breaks from many fields. In practice, when the dimension is less than the sample size but is not small, it is often unclear whether a method that is tailored to high-dimensional data or simply a classical method that is developed and justified for low-dimensional data is preferred. In addition, the methods designed for low-dimensional data may not work well in the high-dimensional environment and vice versa. In this paper, we propose a dimension-agnostic testing procedure targeting a single change point in the mean of a multivariate weakly dependent time series. Specifically, we can show that the limiting null distribution for our test statistic is the same regardless of the dimensionality and the magnitude of cross-sectional dependence. The power analysis is also conducted to understand the large sample behavior of the proposed test. Through Monte Carlo simulations and a real data illustration, we demonstrate that the finite sample results strongly corroborate the theory and suggest that the proposed test can be used as a benchmark for change-point detection of time series of low, medium, and high dimensions with complex cross-sectional and temporal dependence.
KW - Cross-sectional dependence
KW - Panel data
KW - Sample splitting
KW - Self-normalization
KW - Time series
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105004347615
U2 - 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106012
DO - 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106012
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105004347615
SN - 0304-4076
VL - 250
JO - Journal of Econometrics
JF - Journal of Econometrics
M1 - 106012
ER -