Dimension-agnostic change point detection

  • Hanjia Gao
  • , Runmin Wang
  • , Xiaofeng Shao

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    3 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    Change point testing for high-dimensional data has attracted a lot of attention in statistics, econometrics and machine learning owing to the emergence of high-dimensional data with structural breaks from many fields. In practice, when the dimension is less than the sample size but is not small, it is often unclear whether a method that is tailored to high-dimensional data or simply a classical method that is developed and justified for low-dimensional data is preferred. In addition, the methods designed for low-dimensional data may not work well in the high-dimensional environment and vice versa. In this paper, we propose a dimension-agnostic testing procedure targeting a single change point in the mean of a multivariate weakly dependent time series. Specifically, we can show that the limiting null distribution for our test statistic is the same regardless of the dimensionality and the magnitude of cross-sectional dependence. The power analysis is also conducted to understand the large sample behavior of the proposed test. Through Monte Carlo simulations and a real data illustration, we demonstrate that the finite sample results strongly corroborate the theory and suggest that the proposed test can be used as a benchmark for change-point detection of time series of low, medium, and high dimensions with complex cross-sectional and temporal dependence.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article number106012
    JournalJournal of Econometrics
    Volume250
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jul 2025

    Keywords

    • Cross-sectional dependence
    • Panel data
    • Sample splitting
    • Self-normalization
    • Time series

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