Creating a predictive statistical model for catching 155mm artillery projectiles

Alexander Abia, Logan Bolitho, John Lee, Henry Jang-Milsten, Jamie Molacek, Michael Pasque, Alexander Pfister, Charles Martin, Gregory L. Boylan, Scott Hunter

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review


The Armament Research and Development Center at Picatinny Arsenal has developed a Soft Catch Gun system that that fires a 155mm projectile through a 170-meter tube containing a series of mechanisms meant to decelerate and ultimately catch the projectile. The goal of the "soft catch" is to determine whether sensor and guidance components added to the projectiles can survive the extreme forces exerted during the launch. To date, various sources of variability have resulted in a 63% success rate after more than 700 shots. This research aims to improve the system catch rate by creating a predictive statistical model that will assist operators in determining specific settings for system inputs given a projectile type and charge. Our approach uses analysis of system pressure gauges and regression techniques to characterize system behavior. Thereafter, robust parameter design and dual response surface techniques are applied to create a predictive model that will provide the air pressure and water mass parameters needed to reliably and effectively catch a round at the desired location. This will result in considerable savings in testing costs and facilitate more timely development and procurement of advanced artillery projectiles.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2014
PublisherInstitute of Industrial Engineers
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9780983762430
StatePublished - 2014
EventIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2014 - Montreal, Canada
Duration: May 31 2014Jun 3 2014

Publication series

NameIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2014


ConferenceIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2014


  • Pressure analysis
  • Robust parameter design
  • Soft catch artillery system
  • Statistical modeling


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