TY - JOUR
T1 - Can prediction scores be used to identify patients at risk of clostridioides difficile infection?
AU - Rao, Krishna
AU - Dubberke, Erik R.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.
PY - 2022/1/1
Y1 - 2022/1/1
N2 - Purpose of review To describe the current state of literature on modeling risk of incident and recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection (iCDI and rCDI), to underscore limitations, and to propose a path forward for future research.Recent findingsThere are many published risk factors and models for both iCDI and rCDI. The approaches include scores with a limited list of variables designed to be used at the bedside, but more recently have also included automated tools that take advantage of the entire electronic health record. Recent attempts to externally validate scores have met with mixed success.SummaryFor iCDI, the performance largely hinges on the incidence, which even for hospitalized patients can be low (often <1%). Most scores fail to achieve high accuracy and/or are not externally validated. A challenge in predicting rCDI is the significant overlap with risk factors for iCDI, reducing the discriminatory ability of models. Automated electronic health record-based tools show promise but portability to other centers is challenging. Future studies should include external validation and consider biomarkers to augment performance.
AB - Purpose of review To describe the current state of literature on modeling risk of incident and recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection (iCDI and rCDI), to underscore limitations, and to propose a path forward for future research.Recent findingsThere are many published risk factors and models for both iCDI and rCDI. The approaches include scores with a limited list of variables designed to be used at the bedside, but more recently have also included automated tools that take advantage of the entire electronic health record. Recent attempts to externally validate scores have met with mixed success.SummaryFor iCDI, the performance largely hinges on the incidence, which even for hospitalized patients can be low (often <1%). Most scores fail to achieve high accuracy and/or are not externally validated. A challenge in predicting rCDI is the significant overlap with risk factors for iCDI, reducing the discriminatory ability of models. Automated electronic health record-based tools show promise but portability to other centers is challenging. Future studies should include external validation and consider biomarkers to augment performance.
KW - Clostridioides difficile infection
KW - Healthcare-associated infections
KW - Machine learning
KW - Predictive modeling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85120877765&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1097/MOG.0000000000000793
DO - 10.1097/MOG.0000000000000793
M3 - Review article
C2 - 34628418
AN - SCOPUS:85120877765
SN - 0267-1379
VL - 38
SP - 7
EP - 14
JO - Current opinion in gastroenterology
JF - Current opinion in gastroenterology
IS - 1
ER -