CAN GOVERNMENT ENFORCEMENT PERMANENTLY ALTER FERTILITY? THE CASE OF CHINA

CAROL A. SCOTESE; PING WANG

doi:10.1111/j.1465-7295.1995.tb01881.x

CAN GOVERNMENT ENFORCEMENT PERMANENTLY ALTER FERTILITY? THE CASE OF CHINA

CAROL A. SCOTESE
, PING WANG

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

16 Scopus citations

Abstract

We quantitatively assess the main sources of fertility fluctuations in China and find that only preference ships, involving education, health care and the employment and social status of women, can generate a statistically significant long‐run decline in fertility growth. However, the government's enforcement power can explain some short‐run movements infertility. To examine the effect of key variables, we modify a growth model with endogenous fertility to represent the average rural household's fertility decisions under government imposed constraints. The model provides the structure necessary to econometrically identify shocks to government enforcement ability, agricultural output and preferences toward fertility.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	552-570
Number of pages	19
Journal	Economic Inquiry
Volume	33
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.1995.tb01881.x
State	Published - Oct 1995

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title = "CAN GOVERNMENT ENFORCEMENT PERMANENTLY ALTER FERTILITY? THE CASE OF CHINA",

abstract = "We quantitatively assess the main sources of fertility fluctuations in China and find that only preference ships, involving education, health care and the employment and social status of women, can generate a statistically significant long‐run decline in fertility growth. However, the government's enforcement power can explain some short‐run movements infertility. To examine the effect of key variables, we modify a growth model with endogenous fertility to represent the average rural household's fertility decisions under government imposed constraints. The model provides the structure necessary to econometrically identify shocks to government enforcement ability, agricultural output and preferences toward fertility.",

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N2 - We quantitatively assess the main sources of fertility fluctuations in China and find that only preference ships, involving education, health care and the employment and social status of women, can generate a statistically significant long‐run decline in fertility growth. However, the government's enforcement power can explain some short‐run movements infertility. To examine the effect of key variables, we modify a growth model with endogenous fertility to represent the average rural household's fertility decisions under government imposed constraints. The model provides the structure necessary to econometrically identify shocks to government enforcement ability, agricultural output and preferences toward fertility.

AB - We quantitatively assess the main sources of fertility fluctuations in China and find that only preference ships, involving education, health care and the employment and social status of women, can generate a statistically significant long‐run decline in fertility growth. However, the government's enforcement power can explain some short‐run movements infertility. To examine the effect of key variables, we modify a growth model with endogenous fertility to represent the average rural household's fertility decisions under government imposed constraints. The model provides the structure necessary to econometrically identify shocks to government enforcement ability, agricultural output and preferences toward fertility.

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CAN GOVERNMENT ENFORCEMENT PERMANENTLY ALTER FERTILITY? THE CASE OF CHINA

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