An integrated model of global warming and policy making

Zheming Zhang, Ramesh Agarwal

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This paper describes a simple integrated model of global warming due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, which can help the policy makers in considering various CO2 mitigation strategies. First, the constant airborne fraction model is generalized to establish relationship between CO 2 emissions and CO2 concentration in the atmosphere which is then used to determine the global average surface temperature using the Oglesby and Saltzman's general circulation model. Using these simple relationships, the forecast for CO2 emissions, CO2 concentration and average global surface temperature is made for years 2030 and 2050 under Business as Usual (BAU) scenario. In order to achieve an acceptable target increase in global average surface temperature, several simple CO 2 mitigation approaches, proposed by Socolow and Lam, are included in the integrated model.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, ES 2011
Pages827-835
Number of pages9
EditionPARTS A, B, AND C
DOIs
StatePublished - 2011
EventASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, ES 2011 - Washington, DC, United States
Duration: Aug 7 2011Aug 10 2011

Publication series

NameASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, ES 2011
NumberPARTS A, B, AND C

Conference

ConferenceASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, ES 2011
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityWashington, DC
Period08/7/1108/10/11

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