A regression discontinuity design analysis of the incumbency advantage and tenure in the U.S. House

Daniel Mark Butler

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2008.07.010

A regression discontinuity design analysis of the incumbency advantage and tenure in the U.S. House

Daniel Mark Butler

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

48 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper uses a regression discontinuity design to compare the incumbency advantage enjoyed by freshmen and non-freshmen incumbents. The results show that compared to freshmen incumbents that barely won the last election, non-freshmen incumbents that barely won get 2.3 percentage points more in the next election. Further results suggest that the ability to deter high quality challengers is an important source of that advantage.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	123-128
Number of pages	6
Journal	Electoral Studies
Volume	28
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2008.07.010
State	Published - Mar 2009

Keywords

Campaign finance
Deter quality challengers
Incumbency advantage
Regression discontinuity
U.S. House

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10.1016/j.electstud.2008.07.010

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abstract = "This paper uses a regression discontinuity design to compare the incumbency advantage enjoyed by freshmen and non-freshmen incumbents. The results show that compared to freshmen incumbents that barely won the last election, non-freshmen incumbents that barely won get 2.3 percentage points more in the next election. Further results suggest that the ability to deter high quality challengers is an important source of that advantage.",

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AB - This paper uses a regression discontinuity design to compare the incumbency advantage enjoyed by freshmen and non-freshmen incumbents. The results show that compared to freshmen incumbents that barely won the last election, non-freshmen incumbents that barely won get 2.3 percentage points more in the next election. Further results suggest that the ability to deter high quality challengers is an important source of that advantage.

KW - Campaign finance

KW - Deter quality challengers

KW - Incumbency advantage

KW - Regression discontinuity

KW - U.S. House

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A regression discontinuity design analysis of the incumbency advantage and tenure in the U.S. House

Abstract

Keywords

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