To identify preoperative predictors for the use of any blood component during and after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), we performed a retrospective analysis on 602 OLT patients who were randomly split into a training set (n=482) and a validation set (n=120). Hemoglobin and calculated MELD score were identified as independent predictors for blood use using bootstrap aggregation. A logistic regression model constructed using both variables showed comparable performance in the training and validation sets. Predictive scores can be obtained from a nomogram, and a score above -2.328 predicted transfusion of any blood component with a positive predictive value of 97% and 96% in the training and validation sets, respectively.
- Blood transfusion
- International normalized ratio (INR)
- Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score
- Orthotopic liver transplantation